Now-and Fore-casting the Secular Epidemiological Trends and Seasonality of the Comeback of Scarlet Fever in China:A 16-year Time Series Analysis  

作　　者：WANG Yong Bin LI Yan Yan LU Hao TAO Ying Jun LI Yu Hong WANG Lei LIANG Wen Juan 

机构地区：[1]Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health,Xinxiang Medical University,Xinxiang 453003,Henan,China [2]National Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention,China Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China [3]Center for Musculoskeletal Surgery,Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin,Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin,Humboldt-Universität Zu Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health,Berlin,Germany

出　　处：《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》2022年第6期563-567,共5页生物医学与环境科学（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Henan,China;Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Project for University Students of Henan Province and Xinxiang Medical University[222300420265,S202110472047,S202010472007,and XYXSKYZ201932];the Key Scientific Research Project of Universities in Henan[21A330004]

摘　　要：Scarlet fever(SF)is a common communicable disease that results from group A Streptococcus(GAS)infections[1].SF accounted for the global loss of life among children 5–15 years of age in the 18th and 19th centuries[2].A rapid reduction in SF morbidity and mortality occurred due to the scale-up of effective antibiotics and improvements in sanitation and nutrition[3].The unexpected increase in the incidence of SF has attracted a renewed interest in infectious diseases[3].Because the triggers that cause SF outbreaks are not fully understood and there is a scarcity of available vaccines protecting susceptible populations from GAS infections,effective prevention and control plans are required to stop the continued spread of SF.

关 键 词：prevention MORTALITY continued 

分 类 号：R181.3[医药卫生—流行病学] R515.1[医药卫生—公共卫生与预防医学]