东亚对外开放与全要素生产率:只是线性关系吗?  

Openness and Total Factor Productivity in East Asia:Is it only a linear relationship?

作　　者：雷钦礼[1] 李粤麟 LEI Qin-li;LI Yue-lin(College of Economics,Jinan University,Guangzhou 510632,China)

机构地区：[1]暨南大学经济学院统计学系,广东广州510632

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2020年第1期72-82,共11页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“技术进步偏向及其效应的统计测算与计量经济分析”(13ATJ001).

摘　　要：为研究东亚对外开放对全要素生产率的影响,分别使用出口占比,进口占比和FDI三项指标测度对外开放程度,并采用普通面板模型和空间面板模型进行回归分析以保障结果的稳健性.结果表明:进口占比,FDI对TFP呈倒"U"型非线性影响,而出口占比的增加使得TFP下降,这就解释了为什么东亚地区虽然开放程度较高但是全要素生产率不高甚至会出现负增长;空间溢出效应有利于东亚地区全要素生产率增长,因此加强东亚地区区域间的联系,是增加全要素生产率一个有效途径.In order to study the impact of openness on Total Factor Productivity in East Asia,the export ratio,the proportion of imports and the FDI are used to measure the degree of openness.In this paper,the common panel model and the spatial panel model are used for regression analysis to ensure the robustness of the results.The empirical results show that the import and FDI shows an inverted U-type nonlinear influence on TFP,while the impact of export share on TFP is negative linear,which explains why with high level of openness,the growth of TFP in East Asian region is not high or even negative.Spatial spillover effect is conducive to the growth of TFP in East Asia,so strengthening regional relations in East Asia is an effective way to increase.

关 键 词：对外开放 全要素生产率 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：F131[经济管理—世界经济]