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作 者:赵昕[1] 王硕 唐晓蓉 Zhao Xin;Wang Shuo;Tang Xiaorong
机构地区:[1]国家开发银行扶贫金融事业部 [2]国家开发银行陕西分行
出 处:《开发性金融研究》2020年第3期87-96,共10页Development Finance Research
摘 要:苹果价格一方面影响产地经营活动的活跃性,另一方面影响市场终端消费者的购买体验。本文通过对产地、品种、供求关系、成本构成的定性定量分析,解释并预测我国2019年富士苹果批发价格波动情况(最高13.5元/公斤,最低7.2元/公斤),并得出未来5年价格主要受人工成本上升影响,年均上涨幅度约3.7%。针对我国苹果产销增长速度逐步放缓、供给结构有待优化、"产地型"龙头企业亟待培育等现状,提出开发性金融支持苹果产业助力脱贫攻坚乡村振兴,应聚焦优势产区存量升级发展,着力打造"产地型"龙头企业,促进一二三产业融合发展等政策建议。The price of apple affects business activities in the production area and the purchase experience of consumers in the market.Based on the qualitative and quantitative analysis of production area,varieties,supply-demand relationship and cost composition,this paper explains and forecasts the fluctuation of Fuji apple wholesale price in 2019 in China(13.5 yuan/kg at highest,7.2 yuan/kg at lowest),and concludes that the price in the next five years will be mainly affected by the increase of labor cost,with an average annual increase of about 3.7%.In view of the fact that the growth rate of apple production and sales in China has gradually slowed down,the supply structure needs to be optimized,and the producing-area-type leading enterprises need to be cultivated,the paper puts forward several policy suggestions for development finance to support apple industry,such as focusing on the upgrading and development of the existing production capacity in the advantageous production areas,cultivating producing-area-type leading enterprises and promoting the integrated development of the primary,secondary and tertiary industries.
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