中西部非省会城市经济增长动力变迁实证分析——以宜昌市为例  

An Empirical Study on the Propulsion Change of Economic Growth in Midwestern Cities——Taking Yichang City as an Example

作　　者：盛三化[1,2] 李菲 罗钰杰 SHENG Sanhua;LI Fei;LUO Yujie

机构地区：[1]三峡大学经济与管理学院 [2]宜昌自贸研究院

出　　处：《开发性金融研究》2019年第4期23-38,共16页Development Finance Research

摘　　要：近二十多年里,宜昌市经济增长速度高于全国和湖北省平均水平,并呈现出显著的阶段性特征。1991~2017年,资本和全要素生产率(TFP)是宜昌市经济增长的两大主动力,平均贡献率分别为51.86%和47.07%。资本形成依然是宜昌市未来几年经济增长的第一主动力,而长期必然会被TFP替代,经济增速将出现阶段性下降。宜昌经济增长动力变迁对中西部非省会城市经济发展的启示主要包括"稳增长"需要"稳投资"、TFP稳定高速增长是实现经济长期高质量发展的充要条件、改革是经济增长的根源性动力、优化产业结构需要高度重视发展生产性服务业等。In the past two decades,the economic growth rate of Yichang City is higher than China and Hubei province with significant phase characteristics.From 1991 to 2017,capital and Total Factor Productivity(TFP)were the two main drivers for economic growth of Yichang city,with average contribution rates of 51.86%and47.07%,respectively.Capital formation will still be the first main driving force for economic growth of Yichang City in the next few years,and will be replaced by TFP in the long run,and the economic growth rate will decline gradually.The enlightenment of Yichang’s propulsion change of economic growth to other cities in the central and western regions mainly including these:"stable growth"requires"stable investment",stable and rapid growth of TFP is a necessary and sufficient condition for realizing long-term high-quality economic development,reform is the rooted force to economic growth,optimizing the industrial structure requires paying great attention to the development of productive service industries.

关 键 词：经济增长 资本形成 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]