基于系统动力学的战时装备维修器材需求预测分析  

Predictive Analytics of Wartime Equipment Maintenance Material Demand based on System Dynamics

作　　者：王金帼 王亚彬 王帅 WANG Jinguo;WANG Yabin;WANG Shuai(Army Engineering University,Shijiazhuang 050003,China)

机构地区：[1]陆军工程大学,石家庄050003

出　　处：《军事交通学报》2022年第9期32-36,共5页Journal of Military Transportation University

摘　　要：为提高装备抢修效率,保证和恢复战时装备完好率,运用系统动力学理论,对战时装备维修器材需求进行预测分析,绘制因果回路图研究战时装备维修器材需求及各影响因素间的因果反馈关系,建立系统动力学模型,通过仿真预测验证本文提出方法的科学性和可行性。In order to improve the efficiency of equipment repair and ensure and restore the integrity rate of wartime equipment,this paper firstly predicts and analyzes the demand for wartime equipment maintenance equipment with the theory of system dynamics.Then,it draws a causal loop diagram to study the demand for wartime equipment maintenance equipment and the causal feedback relationship among various influencing factors.Finally,it establishes a system dynamics model,and verifies the scientificity and feasibility of the method proposed in this paper through simulation prediction.

关 键 词：维修器材 系统动力学 装备保障 战时 

分 类 号：E92[军事—军事装备学] E27[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]