基于多元回归对安徽房价影响因素的计量分析  

Quantitative Analysis of Influencing Factors of Anhui’s Housing Prices Based on Multiple Regression

作　　者：谢睿[1] 杜悦 朱家明[1] Xie Rui;Du Yue;Zhu Jiaming(Anhui University of Finance and Economics)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学

出　　处：《哈尔滨师范大学自然科学学报》2022年第4期36-42,共7页Natural Science Journal of Harbin Normal University

基　　金：安徽省高校人文社科重点项目“新时代安徽农村合作金融发展研究”(SK2018A0462)

摘　　要：针对安徽商品房价格的影响因素,首先基于2000~2019年安徽省统计年鉴相关数据,选取实际GDP、实际城镇居民人均可支配收入和总人口三个解释变量,运用Eviews软件建立多元线性回归模型,对其进行多重共线性、异方差性和自相关等计量经济学检验方法检验并修正模型.结果显示,城镇居民人均可支配收入和总人数对安徽省商品房价格有正向影响.基于研究结论提出建议,以期为安徽省商品房地产业的平稳发展提供参考依据.Aiming at the influencing factors of commercial housing prices in Anhui,based on the relevant data of the Anhui Statistical Yearbook 2000~2019,three explanatory variables of actual GDP,actual per capita disposable income of urban residents and total population are selected,and a multiple linear regression model is established.Using Eviews software,Conduct multicollinearity,heteroscedasticity,autocorrelation and other econometric testing methods,the model is tested and modified.The results show that the per capita disposable income of urban residents and the total number of people have a positive impact on the price of commercial housing in Anhui Province.Based on the research conclusions,suggestions are provided a reference for the stable development of the commercial real estate industry in Anhui Province.

关 键 词：商品房价格 居民销售价格指数 多元线性回归 总人口 EVIEWS 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济] F224