人口红利对江苏省经济增长的影响  

The Impact from Demographic Dividend on the Economic Growth in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：自涛涛 路晓丽[1] 王文明[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学经济学院,江苏南京210093

出　　处：《南京人口管理干部学院学报》2007年第3期66-70,共5页Journal of Nanjing College for Population Programme Management

摘　　要：利用江苏省“五普”数据以及历年统计年鉴的数据,考察了江苏省人口转变的过程及人口红利水平。借助2001-2005年江苏省各市的面板数据,以人均GDP增长率为因变量,出生率、死亡率、自然增长率、从业人口比例等指标为自变量,分析了人口红利对江苏省经济增长的影响。研究结果表明,人口红利对江苏省经济增长起到了积极作用,但相对于资本的作用而言,其影响较弱。Based on the data from the censuses and annual statistics,this paper investigates Jiangsu's demographic transition and the demographic dividend,whose impact on the province's economic growth is then analysed here.The analysis is made by using the growth rate of GDP per capita as the dependent variable,and the rate of birth,of death,of population growth and of working population et al as the independent variables.The results show that the dividend has a positive effect on the economic growth,but it is relatively limited,compared with the effect of capital.

关 键 词：人口转变 人口红利 经济增长 江苏省 

分 类 号：C92-05[社会学—人口学]