试析布什政府对华安全政策的核心概念  

An Analysis of the Core Concepts of the Bush Administration's Security Policy toward China

作　　者：吴心伯[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学美国研究中心

出　　处：《美国研究》2007年第4期7-22,共16页The Chinese Journal of American Studies

基　　金：复旦大学美国研究中心教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目"冷战后中美关系的新态势与新格局研究"(项目批准号:05JJOGJW038)研究成果的一部分

摘　　要：本文分析了影响布什政府对华安全政策的三个基本概念:"吓阻""两面下注"和"威慑"。"吓阻"旨在阻止中国与美国开展军事竞争,"两面下注"是要应对中国战略走向的"不确定性","威慑"则是要防止中国在台湾问题上动武。作者认为,在这些概念指导下的美国对华安全政策增加了对中国的安全压力,加剧了台海地区的不稳定,并对本地区的政治和安全格局产生了负面影响。它有悖于中美关系发展的大趋势,会在美国对华政策的大框架中引起张力,其调整将是不可避免的。The article analyzes three basic concepts that affect the Bush Administration's security policy toward China-'dissuasion,' 'hedging,' and 'deterrence.' 'Dissuasion' is aimed at preventing China from engaging in military competition with the United States.'Hedging' is to deal with the 'uncertainties' of China's strategic trend.'Deterrence' is to prevent China from using force over Taiwan.The author holds that American security policy toward China guided by these concepts has increased pressure on China's security,intensified the instability of the Taiwan Strait area,and made a negative impact on the political and security structure of the region.It goes against the Sino-US development trend and will cause tensions within the framework of America's China policy.Therefore,an adjustment is inevitable.

关 键 词：美国外交 中美关系 布什政府 对华安全政策 吓阻 两面下注 威慑 

分 类 号：D871.2[政治法律—政治学]