基于排队论的装甲装备修理力量预测建模研究  

Study on Modeling of Forecasting of Repairing Force for Armored Weaponry Based on Queuing Theory

作　　者：张忠斌[1] 王精业[1] 

机构地区：[1]装甲兵工程学院装备作战仿真室,北京100072

出　　处：《系统仿真学报》2006年第z2期1017-1019,1023,共4页Journal of System Simulation

摘　　要：通过对战损装甲装备维修过程特征的分析,引入了随机服务系统,建立了排队系统的模型,得到平均排队长和平均排队等待的时间等系统运行的指标,进而分析了修理机构的服务能力,提出时间-队长优化预测模型,预测装甲修理力量的规模,为装备保障机构确定修理力量的规模提供决策依据。A queuing system model was established and the random service system was introduced by analyzing the character of repairing process of the damaged armored weaponry, and then some system function targets were got, such as average queuing length and average queue waiting time and so on. Then the service ability of repairing institution was analyzed, and time-queuing length optimize forecasting model was put up, and the size of needed repairing force for armored weaponry was forecasted. So the decision-making and basis for weaponry safeguard institution were offered to decide the size of repairing force.

关 键 词：装备保障 排队论 建模 优化 预测 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]