2003年中国成品油消费市场分析及2004年展望  

The Review of Refined Product Consumption Market and Forcasting for 2004

作　　者：刘燕[1] 柯晓明[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石化经济技术研究院,北京100029

出　　处：《石油商技》2003年第5期32-36,共5页Petroleum Products Application Research

摘　　要：受'非典'影响,2003年上半年中国三大类成品油(汽油、煤油及柴油)表观消费量为6.234×107t,同比增长3.3%.其中汽油消费增长放缓,民航用油出现负增长,柴油消费则保持较快增长.依据用油行业消费调查以及成品油消费与GDP增长关系,考虑可能的影响因素,预测2004年中国成品油消费量将达到1.36×108～1.38×108t,同比增长4.6%～6.2%.In the first half year 2003, apparent domestic consumption of main refined product (including gasoline, kerosene and diesel fuel) is 62.34 million tons, up 3.3 percent year- on- year, influenced by 'SARS'. Respectively gasoline consumption growth is slow, jet kerosene is negative and diesel fuel keep strong. Based on survey of oil - using industries and connection of oil consumption with gross domestic product ( GDP) , considering the possible influence factors at the same time, China s total demand of refined product (including gasoline, kerosene and diesel fuel) is expected to increase 4.6 - 6.2 percent to 136 - 138 million tons in 2004.

关 键 词：成品油 表观消费 预测 

分 类 号：F426.22[经济管理—产业经济]