工程成本风险的模糊层次分析  

The fuzzy AHP analysis of construction cost risk

作　　者：谢媛芳[1] 申伟[2] 孟玲 

机构地区：[1]长安大学建筑工程学院,陕西西安710061 [2]长安大学环境工程学院,陕西西安710061 [3]西安市群众面粉厂基建科,陕西西安710015

出　　处：《西安科技学院学报》2004年第2期181-183,共3页

摘　　要：从分析影响工程成本的风险因素入手,根据目前工程成本确定的经验,将模糊数学与层次分析法相结合,建立模糊层次分析模型,对工程成本的风险因素进行评价。提出了全面定量化和定性化的层次结构评价模式和总体评价方法,并用工程实例说明该法简易可行。结论符合实际,从而为工程成本风险辨识、估计和评价提供了一种简便和较为客观的分析评价方法。Starting with analyzing construction cost risk actors , on the basis of determined experiences on construction cost, fuzzy math and the theory of AHP are combined to set a fuzzy AHP analysis model, which is used in the construction cost risk analysis. Also the hierarchy structure evaluation pattern and overall evaluation method on quantity and quality, then it shows its briefness and feasibility with engineering example, and practical conclusion. The model is a method of construction cost risk distinguish and evaluation, in which simple, convenient and objective analysis are combined.

关 键 词：工程成本风险 模糊综合评判 层次分析法 

分 类 号：F407.9[经济管理—产业经济]