基于马尔可夫更新过程的装甲装备使用可用度模型  

Operational Availability Model of Armored Equipment Based on Markov Renewal Process

作　　者：刘福胜[1] 吴纬[2] 单志伟[1] 申莹[1] 

机构地区：[1]装甲兵工程学院技术保障工程系,北京100072 [2]北方特种车辆研究所,北京100072

出　　处：《装甲兵工程学院学报》2010年第5期15-17,共3页Journal of Academy of Armored Force Engineering

摘　　要：针对在装甲装备使用可用度评估中,采用统计评估法存在统计周期长和不能用于研制阶段的缺点,利用马尔可夫更新过程,建立了考虑工作时间、修复性维修时间、延误时间和预防性维修时间的装甲装备的稳态可用度模型,并进行了示例应用。该模型可以在装备研制阶段,根据装备各项时间参数的分布,来估计装甲装备的使用可用度,可为装备设计、装备维修间隔期规划等提供理论和方法指导。Aiming at the problem that the periods of statistic assessment is very long and statistic assessment is unsuitable for the equipment development phase, the steady availability model of armored equipment considering working time, corrective maintenance time, delay time and preventive maintenance time is established by using Markov renewal process, and a demonstration application is conducted. This model can be used to evaluate armored equipment operational availability according to the distribution of each t...

关 键 词：使用可用度 马尔可夫更新过程 延误时间 预防性维修 

分 类 号：E92[军事—军事装备学]