Recent Researches on the Short-Term Climate Prediction at IAP-A Brief Review  

中国科学院大气物理研究所近年来的短期气候预测研究──简要回顾(英文)

作　　者：王会军 周广庆 林朝晖 赵彦 郭裕福 马柱国 

出　　处：《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2001年第5期929-936,共8页大气科学进展（英文版）

基　　金：This research was supported Jointly by the Chinese Academy of Sciences key program The Eurasiamid-and-high latitude atmospheri

摘　　要：Studies on the seasonal to extraseasonal climate prediction at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) in recent years were reviewed. The first short-term climate prediction experiment was carried out based on the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) coupled to a tropical Pacific oceanic general circulation model (OGCM) In 1997, an ENSO prediction system including an oceanic initialization scheme was set up. At the same time, researches on the SST-induced climate predictability over East Asia were made. Based on the blennial signal in the interannual climate variability, an effective method was proposed for correcting the model predicted results recently In order to consider the impacts of the initial soil mois- ture anomalies, an empirical scheme was designed to compute the soil moisture by use of the atmospheric quantities like temperature, precipitation, and so on. Sets of prediction experiments were carried out to study the impacts of SST and the initial atmospheric conditinns on the flood occurring over China in 1998.Studies on the seasonal to extraseasonal climate prediction at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) in recent years were reviewed. The first short-term climate prediction experiment was carried out based on the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) coupled to a tropical Pacific oceanic general circulation model (OGCM) In 1997, an ENSO prediction system including an oceanic initialization scheme was set up. At the same time, researches on the SST-induced climate predictability over East Asia were made. Based on the blennial signal in the interannual climate variability, an effective method was proposed for correcting the model predicted results recently In order to consider the impacts of the initial soil mois- ture anomalies, an empirical scheme was designed to compute the soil moisture by use of the atmospheric quantities like temperature, precipitation, and so on. Sets of prediction experiments were carried out to study the impacts of SST and the initial atmospheric conditinns on the flood occurring over China in 1998.

关 键 词：Climate prediction Climate model INITIALIZATION 

分 类 号：P46[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]