数值天气预报发展进程中若干亮点的回顾及其启迪  

Some Highlights and Their Implication in the Early Progress of Numerical Weather Prediction-a Review

作　　者：纪立人[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大气物理研究所,北京100029

出　　处：《气象科技进展》2011年第1期40-43,共4页Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology

基　　金：科技部创新方法工作专项项目资助(2008IM020500)

摘　　要：尝试从方法论的视角,回顾数值天气预报(NWP)早期发展进程中的若干亮点及其启迪。NWP是大气科学的一个分支,同样具有边缘学科性质和很强的实用性。纵观其发展史,一个新概念新思想的提出,以至新研究领域的开拓,往往可以看到其他学科成果和NWP问题的结合,更离不开天气预报实践的需求和启发。从这个角度出发,我们围绕"从理查逊(Richardson)的‘梦想’到原始方程模式的回归"及"数值预报中历史资料的应用到四维同化"两个主题,分别回顾了NWP有关模式和观测资料处理的研究进程。In this paper,a view in retrospect is made on some highlights in the early progress of numerical weather prediction(NWP),trying to address their implications in methodological perspective.NWP as a branch of atmospheric sciences,is a subject of interdisciplinary nature and immediate practical use.In the course of its development,the raising of a new idea or the advent of a new research area in NWP,not seldom,stems from its integration with other disciplines,let alone the demand and inspiration of weather prediction practice.From this viewpoint,two streams of researches have been traced with respective headings of'from the'dream'of Richardson to the recurrence of primitive equations model'and'from the initiation of using historical data in NWP to the formulation of 4-D data assimilation'in the text.

关 键 词：方法论视角 原始方程模式 螺旋式上升 历史资料应用 四维同化 

分 类 号：P456.7[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]