后退耕时代农户退耕成果维护意愿及其影响因素分析  

Farmers' Maintenance Willingness to the Achievements of SLCP and the Analysis of Its Influence Factors

作　　者：金世华[1] 赵冠楠[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100

出　　处：《生态经济（学术版）》2011年第2期16-19,共4页Ecological Economy

基　　金："全国大学生创新性试验计划"国家级课题"陕北地区‘一退两还’后补偿机制的探究"(091071258)阶段性成果;国家自然科学基金项目"黄土丘陵区退耕区域农业生态经济系统耦合过程及其模式研究"(40771082)

摘　　要：退耕还林是一项系统生态工程,其成果的可持续性在很大程度上取决于参与农户的维护意愿。文章通过二元逻辑回归法,分析影响农户维护意愿的因素,以及不同因素对农户退耕成果维护意愿的影响机理。结果表明,在以农户追求自身经济利益最大化的决策前提下,其自身农产品供给能力、向工副业转移的能力,以及造林的经济效益和生态效益是影响农户的维护意愿的显著因素。因此,政府深度参与、完善相关政策并引入市场机制有助于提高退耕还林工程的可持续性。The Sloping Land Conversion(to forests) Program(SLCP) is a systematical ecological project,the sustainability of which depends largely on the maintenance willingness of peasant households participated in.In this paper,binary Logistic regression analysis has been used to analysis the influence factors of peasant households,maintenance Willingness to the achievements of the program and its mechanism.The results showed that within the Prerequisites that farmers seek to maximize their own economic interests in decision-making,their own capability of supplying agricultural products,the ability to transfer to the sideline,and the economic and ecological benefits of afforestation are the significant factors influencing the maintenance willingness of participants.Therefore,the depth of participation,improvement in the relevant policies and the introduction of market mechanisms of the government help to improve the sustainability of SLCP.

关 键 词：维护意愿 影响因素 可持续性 后退耕时代 

分 类 号：F32[经济管理—产业经济]