基于时间序列和地区差异的经济增长模式的选择研究  

Selection of economy increasing mode based on the data of time sequence and the regional difference

作　　者：金善女[1] 齐晓丽[2] 

机构地区：[1]河北工业大学外国语学院,天津300401 [2]河北工业大学经济管理学院,天津300401

出　　处：《河北工业大学学报》2013年第2期106-110,共5页Journal of Hebei University of Technology

基　　金：河北省软科学研究计划(11457244)

摘　　要：基于经济增长理论和改革开放后的相关统计数据,探讨了中国经济增长变化趋势和自然资源以及劳动力资源总量变化趋势的关系,并对资源丰富和资源贫乏地区的经济增长率进行了对比分析,通过趋势分析和对比分析发现当前中国的经济增长率远远超过了各种资源生产的增长率,并且资源丰富地区的经济增长率低于资源贫乏地区的经济增长率,这些特征从某种程度上说明需要依靠自主创新的经济增长模式来实现经济的可持续发展.Based on the theory of economic growth and the data of economic statistics,this study discussed the relation between resources output and economic growth trend,and compared the economic growth rate between the regions rich in resources and the regions poor in resources.Through the analysis of time series trend and regional difference with the economic growth and the resources output,we have found that the economic growth rate is much more than the growth rate of resources,and the regions with high level of economic growth rate is not the regions rich in resources.These indicate that sustainable economic growth rely on the independent innovation.

关 键 词：资源禀赋 时间序列趋势 地区差异 经济增长模式 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]