云南各区域国际旅游问题分析——基于面板数据模型和聚类分析的实证研究  

An Analysis of International Tourism Problems in Various Regions in Yunnan:an Empirical Research Based on Kneading Board Data Model and Cluster Analysis

作　　者：李继云[1] 冯万荣[2] 孙良涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]红河学院商学院,云南蒙自661100 [2]云南城市建设职业学院经济管理系,云南昆明650222

出　　处：《生态经济（学术版）》2012年第2期193-197,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：2010年度云南省哲学社会科学研究基地重点课题"越南西北各省与中国云南省合作发展机制研究"(JD2010ZD25)阶段性成果

摘　　要：当今世界,发达与发展中国家都十分重视开发国与国之间,地区与地区之间的旅游业。有的国家作过这样的估算,从一个外国旅客身上获得的外汇收入,大约相当于出口九吨煤或两吨粮食的外汇收入。云南有丰富的旅游资源,因此,云南也要随着国家对外开放政策的进一步实施,积极主动地、有胆略地开发国际旅游业,并以此带动和促进云南各州市经济的发展。文章以云南各区域旅游为研究对象,选取海外旅游者接待人数和国际旅游外汇收入为变量,建立面板数据模型,分析各地区接待海外旅游者人数对国际旅游外汇收入的贡献,并利用2010年各地区的国际旅游外汇收入指标对云南各区域的国际旅游进行聚类分析,进而确定各地区国际旅游在全省旅游市场中的地位,为促进云南区域国际旅游协调发展具有重要的现实意义。In today's world,both developed countries and developing countries all emphasize developing inter-country and inter-region tourisms.Some countries had made such estimation that the foreign exchange earnings obtained from a foreign tourist is probably equal to the foreign exchange income of exporting nine tons of coals or two tons of grain.Yunnan has rich tourist resources,with the further implementation of the policy on opening to the outside world,therefore Yunnan must also develop positively and strategically international tourism on it own initiative,and use the tourism to lead and promote the economy development in various prefectures and cities in Yunnan.This article takes tourism in various regions in Yunnan as the object of study,selects the population of overseas tourists and the international tourism foreign exchange earnings as variables,establishes the kneading board data model,analyzes the contribution of the received overseas tourist population in various regions to the international tourism foreign exchange earnings,and makes use of international tourism foreign exchange earnings index in various region in 2010 to conduct the cluster analysis of the international tourism in various regions in Yunnan,then determines the status of the international tourism in each region in the entire provincial tourism market.This paper will have a vital practical significance for promoting the coordinated development of the Yunnan international tourism in Yunnan.

关 键 词：云南 国际旅游 面板数据 聚类分析 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理] F224[经济管理—产业经济]