青岛市机动车尾气排放预测及其对空气环境质量的影响  

Motor Vehicles Exhaust Gas Emission Prediction and Its Impact on Air Environmental Quality in Qingdao

作　　者：王春艳[1] 李悦[1] 孔范龙[1] 郗敏[1] 陈少君[1] 李扬[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛大学化学化工与环境学院,山东青岛266071

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2011年第S2期437-439,共3页China Population,Resources and Environment

摘　　要：本文在对青岛市机动车保有量、市区交通状况及车流量进行深入调查的基础上,依据青岛市环保局利用环保部开发的中国机动车排放模型(CVEM)对青岛市机动车尾气污染物NO_x、CO、HC、PM的排放量的计算结果,对未来青岛市汽车尾气排放情况进行了预测。通过现状调查及模型预测,得出到2015年,青岛市的汽车保有量将超过160万辆,青岛市汽车尾气将排放约NO_x:7.70×10~4t、HC:3.95×10~4t、CO:31.07×10~4t、PM:0.92×10~4t污染物,机动车尾气污染将成为青岛市目前和未来大气污染的主要因素之一。并结合青岛市的实际情况提出了控制机动车尾气污染的建议和对策。Based on the number of motor vehicles in Qingdao,traffic situation of the urban and the flow of vehicles,and the motor vehicle exhaust gas pollutants NO_x,CO,HC,and PM in Qingdao,which is calculated by Qingdao Environmental Protection Agency via CVEM model,the future vehicle exhaust situation in Qingdao are predicted in this paper.By 2015,the number of automobiles in Qingdao will exceed 1.6million.At the same time,about 77 000 t NO,,39 500t HC,310 700t CO,and 9 200 PM will be emitted by automobiles. At present and in the future period of time,vehicle exhaust will be one of the main factors for air pollution in Qingdao.In addition,suggestions on vehicle exhaust pollution control are put forward according to the actual situations in Qingdao.

关 键 词：青岛市 机动车尾气 排放量 大气污染 

分 类 号：X51[环境科学与工程—环境工程]