刚果(金)冲突:回顾与前瞻  

CONFLICTS IN CONGO-KINSHASA: REVIEW AND FORECAST

作　　者：黄锡芬 高晋元[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所

出　　处：《西亚非洲》1999年第5期42-49,77,共9页West Asia and Africa

摘　　要：Kabila was bogged downed by various factors soon after he came to power:contradictions between his subjective reconstruction plan and the objective messy conditions left over by Mobutu;contradictions between the new regime and the old political parties bent on sharing power;the thorny Tutsi issue and the almost inevitable split of the leading Alliance of Democratic Forces for the Liberation of the Congo(ADFL);contradictions between Kabila and his Ugandan and Rwandan allies.The civil war has drawn into it eight or so other countries and is in fact regionalised.The rebels supported by Rwanda and Uganda have occupied half of the country’s territory,but their advance toward the two major cities of Mbuji Mayi and Lubumbashi was stopped by the government force and its allies.There is a balance of strength and neither side has the upper hand.The protracted war benefits none except the intentional seperatists,ammunition mongers and corrupt officers engaged in border smuggling.The signing of the cease fire agreement on 10 July is a gratifying achievement,but the chief rebel group RDC failed to sign the document,and this posed uncertainty.There are also a number of problems facing the implementation of the agreement.However,difficulties and hope exist side by side.Kabila was bogged downed by various factors soon after he came to power:contradictions between his subjective reconstruction plan and the objective messy conditions left over by Mobutu;contradictions between the new regime and the old political parties bent on sharing power;the thorny Tutsi issue and the almost inevitable split of the leading Alliance of Democratic Forces for the Liberation of the Congo(ADFL);contradictions between Kabila and his Ugandan and Rwandan allies.The civil war has drawn into it eight or so other countries and is in fact regionalised.The rebels supported by Rwanda and Uganda have occupied half of the country's territory,but their advance toward the two major cities of Mbuji Mayi and Lubumbashi was stopped by the government force and its allies.There is a balance of strength and neither side has the upper hand.The protracted war benefits none except the intentional seperatists,ammunition mongers and corrupt officers engaged in border smuggling.The signing of the cease fire agreement on 10 July is a gratifying achievement,but the chief rebel group RDC failed to sign the document,and this posed uncertainty.There are also a number of problems facing the implementation of the agreement.However,difficulties and hope exist side by side.

关 键 词：卡比拉 图西人 刚果 反政府武装 卢旺达 停火协定 金沙萨 政府军 乌干达 安哥拉 

分 类 号：D746.31[政治法律—政治学]