论再度紧缩的货币政策——紧缩与农村发展  

What Deflation Would Mean for Rural Development

作　　者：罗小明[1] 陈昭[2] 孔晖[1] 

机构地区：[1]国务院农研中心发展研究所 [2]中央财金学院金融系

出　　处：《管理世界》1988年第2期24-32,219,共10页Journal of Management World

摘　　要：今年将再度实施紧缩货币政策。作者认为,改革后的中国经济机理、深层结构发生的巨大变化,使信贷与物价的对称关系不十分明显,因此,单纯的数量型紧缩不仅无法消除城市经济的需求膨胀,而且可能对我国经济特别是对农村经济的发展产生十分不利的影响。再度紧缩战略应采取放开货币供给、控制利率标的战略,通过增加有效供给达到抑制物价飘浮的目的。The present exposition emphasizes that reforms have led to tremendous changesin the mechanism and underflying structure of China's economy, Changes Whichare responsible for the inconspicuousness of the correlation between credits andprices. Thus purely quantitative deflation, while incapable to curb the rising demandin urban economy, may seriously affect China's economic system in general andher rural development in particular. Therefore, according to the authors, the newmeasures aimed at deflation should focus on the freer supply of money and on theeffective control on interest rates so as to achieve improved effective supply, whichwould in turn stabilize the prices.

关 键 词：货币政策 紧缩战略 不对称 有效供给 货币供给 农村发展 乡镇企业 消除 农村经济 形成 

分 类 号：C93[经济管理—管理学]