异质性、技术进步偏向性与刘易斯转折  

Heterogeneity,Technical Change Direction and Lewis Turning Point

作　　者：王卫[1] 佟光霁[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150040

出　　处：《人口与经济》2014年第2期67-75,共9页Population & Economics

基　　金：教育部博士点基金项目"农业现代化进程中的职业农民培育研究"(20120062110004)

摘　　要：经验数据表明我国农村劳动力仍有转移的空间和必要,而近些年民工荒现象不同程度的显现,引发了学者们对于刘易斯拐点是否到来的讨论,形成了差异巨大甚至对立的研究结论。文章通过对传统刘易斯模型中劳动力同质性和技术进步中性假设符合现实性的修正,合理地解释了中国现存的民工荒现象,结论表明劳动力短缺和工资水平上涨并不能作为刘易斯拐点已经到来的表征。结合对中国农村劳动力转移的特殊性分析,认为有必要在教育技能培训、职业农民培育、劳务品牌打造、农民工市民化和深化改革等方面采取多元化措施,实现农村劳动力的有序有效转移。Empirical data illustrates that there is potential and necessary to transfer rural labor , and a variety of appearing of labor shortage phenomenon causes discussion among scholars about whether Lewis turning point has been arrived , but the study conclusion is quite different or even opposite . Based on the traditional Lewis model , labor homogeneity and hypothesis of neutral technical progress coordinate with amendment of reality , which manifest that labor shortage and the rise in wages do not represent the arriving of Lewis turning point .Combining with the analysis of the particularity of China’s transfer of rural labor, diversified measures, consist of education skills training , cultivating professional farmers , creating labor service brand , citizenization of rural labor and deepening the reform, is essential to carry out order and effective transfer of rural labor .

关 键 词：刘易斯拐点 农村劳动力转移 劳动力异质性 技术进步偏向性 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]