泛珠九省入境旅游客源市场与旅游创汇研究  

On Inbound Tourism Market and International Tourism Receipts in Inland Nine Provinces of the Pan-Pearl River Delta Based on Shift-Share Method and Value Index

作　　者：曾剑云[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南科技大学商学院,湖南湘潭411201

出　　处：《湖南科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第3期78-83,共6页Journal of Hunan University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(10YJC790011);教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目(11YJAZH109);湖南省社会科学基金项目(2010YBB136)

摘　　要：利用2004~2011年旅游数据,选择偏离-份额方法,构建海外游客的相对价值指数和相对人均价值指数,对泛珠三角内地九省(泛珠九省)入境旅游客源市场结构和旅游创汇的变动研究发现:泛珠九省入境旅游发展和海外游客人均创汇均领先全国,后者优势逐渐减弱,而旅游总体创汇水平尚未提高至国内平均水平;江西、海南、湖南入境旅游发展位居泛珠九省前列,福建旅游创汇和广东海外游客人均创汇的优势明显且增强。This paper,based on the tourism data from 2004 to 201 1 and by choosing the Shift-Share Method and constructing the overseas tourist's Relative Value Index and Relative Per capita Value Index,stud-ies the transmutation of inbound tourism market and the international tourism receipts in the inland nine prov-inces of the Pan-Pearl River Delta.Results show that the development of the nine provinces'inbound tourism and the per international receipts from overseas tourists have surpassed the national average level,and the lat-ter advantage has gradually weakened,whereas the international tourism receipts have not reached the national average level.Among the inbound tourism development of the inland nine provinces of the Pan-Pearl Rive Delta,Jiangxi Province,Hainan Province and Hunan Province top other provinces,and the advantages of the international tourism receipts in Fujian Province and the per international tourism receipts in Guangdong Prov-ince are striking and improving.

关 键 词：偏离-份额方法 相对价值指数 相对人均价值指数 入境旅游 泛珠九省 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]