“稳增长”不能重回“保增长”——基于对我国当前经济形势的研判  

"Stabilize Growth" Cannot Return to the "Ensure Growth" Model——Based on Analysis and Judgment of China's Current Economic Situation

作　　者：陈佳贵[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院

出　　处：《学术前沿》2012年第8期80-85,95,共7页Frontiers

摘　　要：在应对两次金融危机过程中,我国政府都采取了"保增长"的宏观经济政策,使我国在全球经济受到巨大冲击的情况下,保持了较高的经济增长速度。但是,"保增长"是一把双刃剑,不能轻易出手。我国当前的经济形势与应对金融危机时相比,既有相似的地方,又有很大的不同,还没有出现需要实行"保增长"的国内外经济环境。因此,宏观经济政策不能由"稳增长"转而变成"保增长"。In its efforts to respond to the last two financial crises,Chinese government have taken the macro economic policy of 'ensuring growth,' which helped China maintain rapid economic growth while the global economy was seriously affected. However,'ensuring growth' policy is a double-edged sword and cannot be easily used. Comparing China's economic situation at the moment and during the financial crisis,there are similarities as well as big differences. There have not appeared an economic environment at home and abroad that warrants the 'ensuring growth' policy. Therefore,the current macroeconomic policy—stabilizing growth,cannot return to the old 'ensuring growth' policy.

关 键 词：宏观经济 稳中求进 “稳增长” “保增长” 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]