国家模式决定大国兴衰——苏美日兴衰规律探讨及启示  

The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers are Determined by Their Models——Revelations from a Discussion on Laws Governing the Rise and Fall of the Soviet Union,US and Japan

作　　者：刘江永[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学当代国际关系研究院

出　　处：《学术前沿》2012年第3期76-84,共9页Frontiers

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"中国国际战略环境预测与国家应对战略研究"阶段性初步研究成果之一;项目编号:09JZD0040-2

摘　　要：战后迄今,两制并存状态经历了冷战时期的"对立共存"和冷战后的"包容共存",在21世纪,多种国家模式竞争是否会催生两制"合作共存"的历史进程,值得从理论和实践的结合上认真研究。展望未来,国家模式竞争仍将是决定大国兴衰与世界格局的关键因素,多种国家模式竞争将直接影响两制并存的态势。中国的改革是社会主义国家模式的自我完善,中国的经济、政治体制改革不是社会形态、社会制度或国体的改变,而是国家模式的调整、完善和发展。Since the end of World War II,capitalism and socialism have 'coexisted with antagonism between them' during the Cold War and then 'coexisted in a state of mutual tolerance.' In the 21st century,whether competence among the models of various countries will begin a new historical process of the two systems 'cooperating with each other' is a good topic.It merits careful study from both theoretical and practical perspectives.The author believes that the competence among the said various models is the most significant factor determining the vicissitudes of great powers and has a direct bearing on the shift in influence of capitalism and socialism.China's economic and political reforms do not bring about essential changes in its form of society,or social and political systems but hold as adjustment,improvement and development of the country's socialist model.

关 键 词：国家模式 社会制度 大国兴衰 国际格局 

分 类 号：D502[政治法律—政治学]