预测究原  

Probe into the Origin of Prediction

作　　者：管楚度[1] 

机构地区：[1]长沙交通学院

出　　处：《系统科学学报》1999年第2期75-79,91,共6页Chinese Journal of Systems Science

摘　　要：对预测的本质、趋势的概念、预测的根据、预测径路中的分岔现象及对预测的影响、需求预测的场合、预测中的悖论、不可预测的事物、提高预测质量的方法、用熵值去预测、社会现象预测中的自适应现象、预测的误识等几个问题进行了系统哲学的论述.Several problems about prediction were expounded in a systematical and philosophical way. Discussion stresses are laid on the following:the essence of prediction,the concept of trend,the basis of prediction,the exception and its influence over prediction during the process of prediction ,the occasions requiring prediction,the paradox in prediction,the things unpredictable,the methods improving the quality of prediction ,the application of entropy in prediction, the self-adaptability of social phenomena prediction, the misunderstanding of prediction and so on.

关 键 词：预测本质 预测根据 趋势 

分 类 号：C912[经济管理]