纺织行业供应链运作模型与预测系统  

The Operation Model and Forecast System of Textile Supply Chain

作　　者：陈畴镛[1] 余福茂[1] 丁祥海[1] 

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学管理学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《杭州电子科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2006年第3期50-56,共7页Journal of Hangzhou Dianzi University：Social Sciences

基　　金：浙江省科技计划项目(2003C31088)

摘　　要：从化纤行业入手,通过分析纺织产品供应链及其影响因素,建立了反映纺织供应链之间的内在关系的线性回归和自回归模型,重点研究了价格预测系统。该模型能向用户提供即时的经济分析手段,从定量角度帮助纺织行业和业内企业把握各纺织原料价格走势,有助于客户了解市场的即时行情走势。建立的预测模型和分析结果可作为纺织供应链企业及国家有关部门对化纤行业进行宏观调控的依据。Starting from chemical fiber industry, through analyzing the textile product supply chain and the influencing factors, this article establishes Linear Regression and Automatic Regression models that reflect the inner relation in the textile supply chain, and focus on the study of the price forecast system, provides the instant economic analysis methods to the user, and helps the textile industry and enterprises understand various textile material price trends based on the ration, it is helpful for the customers to understand the instant quotation trend in the market. The textile supply chain enterprises and national departments may apply the macroeconomic regulation and control to the chemical fiber industry according to the establishment forecast models and the analysis results.

关 键 词：纺织供应链 回归分析 运作模型 价格预测系统 

分 类 号：F407.81[经济管理—产业经济] F224