基于战斗损伤的备件消耗预测仿真建模方法研究  

Forecast Simulation Model of Spare Parts Requirement under Combat Damage

作　　者：李晓燕[1,2] 宋建社 毋文峰 刘红燕 

机构地区：[1]装甲兵工程学院 [2]西安高科技研究所 [3]63756部队

出　　处：《系统仿真学报》2013年第S1期99-103,共5页Journal of System Simulation

基　　金：总装备部预研项目(513270201)

摘　　要：在综合分析战斗损伤对备件消耗影响因素的基础上,提出两类战损条件下预测备件消耗量的方法。针对新装备的战损情况定量数据少,毁伤规则不明确的特点,建立了利用模糊综合评判来预测战损备件消耗量的模型。最后,通过实例计算表明,这种基于毁伤概率的备件消耗预测模型能够真实地反映备件消耗实际情况,并且能够为备件的需求供应提供更大限度的保障。Based on synthetically analyzing the main factors influencing spare parts wastage under combat damage,two consumption forecast models of spare parts under combat damage were built.Considering the characteristics of new equipments,such as lacking quantitative data of combat damage and undefined damage regulations,a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to forecast the consumption of spare parts was proposed.Finally it is demonstrated by computation case that the spare parts wastage gained by this consumption forecast model based on damage probability is closer to the practice,and it can offer more support for spare parts requirement.

关 键 词：战斗损伤 备件 消耗预测 模糊综合评判 

分 类 号：E91[军事]