中国房地产业的关联测算及宏观经济效应分析——基于中国2002-2007年投入产出表  

Analysis on the Industrial Correlation and Macro-economic Effect of China's Real Estate Sector:Based on China 2002-2007 Input-output Tables

作　　者：孟延春[1] 汤苍松[2] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学公共管理学院,北京100084 [2]天津大学管理与经济学部,天津300072

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2013年第S1期28-31,共4页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目"新阶段我国城市化发展道路的选择及管理研究"(编号:71133003)

摘　　要：本文采用投入产出分析法测算房地产的关联效应,分析了我国房地产业的变化规律及其对宏观经济影响。研究认为:我国房地产业的关联效应和经济带动能力不突出,对居民就业的拉动有限,产业波及能力有待强化;房地产业对第三产业各部门的支撑作用有所提高;与实体经济关系相对密切,产业关联具有较强的重物质性特点;房地产业发展动力相对充足,对居民消费变动的反应相对敏感;房地产业的产出分配形成了向利税倾斜的结构。最后,从房地产调控重点、发展方式、分配结构三方面提出政策建议。Using the input-output analysis method to measure the industrial correlation,the article analyses the changing phenomena of China's real estate sector and macro-economy effect.The research concludes as following.China's real estate industrial correlation degree and its capacity to promote economy are limited and the power of improving employment is not strong.The spread effect of China's real estate sector needs to be continued to strengthen.China's real estate sector has been improving and increasing the pushing capacity to relevant sectors in tertiary industry.China's real estate sector has a close relation to the real economy with relatively strong substance-oriented.The development motive force of China's real estate sector is relatively strong and the sector keeps sensitiveness to the changing of household consumption.The real estate sector output distribution formed to profit and taxation inclined structure.Finally,the article gives out three aspects of policy suggestion on main regulation area,development mode and distribution structure.

关 键 词：房地产 投入产出法 产业关联 经济效应 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]