乌克兰危机背景下的大国博弈及其对国际安全格局的影响  

Big-power Rivalry and its Impact on International Security Setup under the Backdrop of Ukrainian Crisis

作　　者：高飞[1] 张建[1] 

机构地区：[1]外交学院 [2]外交学院俄罗斯研究中心

出　　处：《和平与发展》2014年第6期78-98,115-116,共21页Peace and Development

基　　金：国家社科课题“未来十年上海合作组织的发展趋势及其影响因素研究”(项目编号:12BGJ014)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：2013年11月,亚努科维奇宣布拒绝与欧盟签署自由贸易协定引发大规模的反政府示威,继之而来的是亚努科维奇下台、克里米亚公投入俄、乌克兰东部顿涅茨克州和卢甘斯克州宣布独立,以及东部地区的武装冲突。乌克兰危机具有复杂的历史经纬和现实矛盾,既有乌克兰的国内矛盾,又有俄、美、欧之间的大国博弈。梳理乌克兰危机的演变过程,分析乌克兰国内因素和俄美欧大国博弈间的相互作用,可以对乌克兰局势的走向和国际安全战略格局的新变化做出判断,并提出中国应如何对待乌克兰危机。In November 2013, after Viktor Yanukovych, the then President of Ukraine, announced his decision to refuse signing the freetrade agreement with the European Union, a large-scale demonstration broke out. It was followed quickly by the step-down of Yanukovych, the Crimea referendum to seek merging into the Russian Federation, the announcements of independence by the eastern oblasts of Donetsk and Lugansk, and the outbreak of armed conflict in the eastern part of Ukraine. It is obvious that the Ukrainian crisis bears the imprint of the historical contradictions of the country as well as big-power rivalry between Russia and the United States & EU. In order to assess the Ukrainian situation and its future development, make judgment on new changes in international security and strategic setup and come up with suggestions for China to deal with the Ukrainian crisis, it is necessary to straighten up the evolution of the crisis, and analyze the domestic factors inside Ukraine and the interactions of big-power rivalry between Russia and the U.S. & EU.

关 键 词：乌克兰危机 大国博弈 国际安全 普京政府 俄乌关系 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]