碳排放强度分解决策支持系统的研制与应用  

A Decision Support System for Decomposing Carbon Emission Intensity:Development and Application

作　　者：梁巧梅[1] 刘维旭[1] 梁晓捷[1] 赵鲁涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院能源与环境政策研究中心,北京100081

出　　处：《北京理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第5期37-41,共5页Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology：Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71001007;71020107026);教育部新世纪人才基金资助项目(NCET-12-0039)

摘　　要：中国区域碳排放强度随着经济发展呈现不同的变化趋势。为了帮助决策者根据区域碳排放强度的时间和空间特征制定低碳经济发展政策,基于对数均值迪氏分解(LMDI)的方法,研制了碳排放强度分解决策支持系统,并结合面向对象的信息系统开发流程开发相应的软件。通过对系统的初步应用可以看出,该系统有助于使用者定量、直观地分析各地区能源结构、能源效率和经济结构的问题,制定相应的低碳发展政策。China's regional carbon emission intensity presented different trends in different economic development stages. In order to help decision-makers to formulate low-carbon development policy according to the temporal and spatial characteristics of regional carbon emission intensity, based on the logarithmic mean Divisia Index(LMDI)method, the Carbon Emission Intensity Decomposition Decision Support System is developed, and the corresponding software following an object-oriented information system development process is established. Preliminary applications of the system show that it can help users visually and quantitatively to find problems existing in the energy structure, energy efficiency and economic structure of different provinces, and thus could be helpful for the formulation of relevant provincial low-carbon development policies.

关 键 词：碳排放强度分解 决策支持系统 模型-视图-控制器(MVC) 低碳发展 

分 类 号：TP311.52[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论] X321[自动化与计算机技术—计算机科学与技术]