FDI、第三方效应与农村剩余劳动力转移的空间集聚——基于中国省际面板数据的空间计量检验  

Foreign Direct Investment,Third-Province Effects and Spatial Agglomeration of Transference of Redundant Rural Labor Force——Spatial Econometrical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：赵德昭[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南财经政法大学财政税务学院,450046

出　　处：《南开经济研究》2014年第6期105-124,共20页Nankai Economic Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(项目编号:10BJL040);2012年湖南省博士研究生科研创新项目(项目编号:CX2012B133)资助

摘　　要：已有农村剩余劳动力转移的研究文献大多建立在双边框架内,从空间效应角度的研究还少有涉及。本文基于新经济地理学空间视角和"第三方效应"的理论基础,并利用探索性空间数据分析和空间计量方法对FDI集聚影响农村剩余劳动力转移的空间效应进行实证检验。空间计量检验结果表明,由于FDI产业集聚和本地市场效应形成的累积循环机制,农村剩余劳动力转移存在高-高集聚和低-低集聚的"马太效应"。"第三方效应"在时空上均显著存在,但其对农村剩余劳动力转移空间集聚的影响效应和作用机制略有差异。本文的研究意味着,可通过具有"适度梯度"的引资政策、劳动力市场制度的"大推动战略"等改变农村剩余劳动力转移空间集聚两极分化的局面,这对实现劳动力市场一体化和促进城乡社会融合具有重要意义。Most of researches on transference of redundant rural labor force are usually based on bilateral framework,there are few articles focusing on spatial effects. Based on the new economic geography spatial perspective and 'Third-province effects' theory,exploratory spatial data analysis and spatial measurement are used to make empirical test that FDI agglomeration affects space distribution of transference of redundant rural labor force. Spatial econometrical analysis show that,as cumulative cycle mechanism on industrial agglomeration of FDI and local market effects,there are 'Mathew effect' of high-high and low-low agglomeration on transference of redundant rural labor force. 'Third-province effects' are significantly presence both in time and space,but its spatial agglomeration effects and mechanisms of action are slightly different. Conclusions mean that,spatial concentration polarization of the situation of transference of redundant rural labor force can be changed by having a 'Moderate gradient' policies on FDI,and 'Big push strategy' of labor market system,which is important to achieve labor market integration and the promotion of urban-rural social integration.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 农村剩余劳动力转移 第三方效应 空间计量分析 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学] F323.6F224