长江三角洲地区污染密集型产业转移及驱动机理  

Spatial relocation of pollution-intensive industry and the mechanism in Yangtze River Delta

作　　者：崔建鑫[1] 赵海霞[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所,南京210008

出　　处：《地理研究》2015年第3期504-512,共9页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(41130750);中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KZCX2-EW-315);中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所"一三五"重点项目(2012135006)

摘　　要：污染密集型产业转移及影响机理研究已成为区域可持续发展的研究热点之一。利用长江三角洲地区2000-2010年面板数据,运用Arc GIS空间分析工具,探讨污染密集型产业的时空格局演变特征及转移规律,构建计量学模型,定量地揭示其转移的驱动机理。结果表明:1近十年来,长江三角洲地区的污染密集型产业具有空间转移特征,转移方向基本符合沪宁—沪杭甬交通线,呈现由中心城市到外围城市、由集中到分散转移态势;2污染密集型产业转移主要受到外向度和劳动力成本拉动,而与经济发展水平呈负相关,环境规制、产业结构、创新能力均产生重要推动作用。3长江三角洲地区经济发展目前已逐渐摆脱依赖污染密集型产业的迹象,但污染密集型产业区位仍未发生根本性改变。The world is moving further toward economic globalization and trade liberalization.Industrial relocation is an important way to upgrading the industrial structure and promoting regional coordinated development, which usually assumes relocating industrial production from prosperous zones to less developed zones. Against the background, it has become a hotspot in the research of regional sustainable development in the places where the pollutionintensive industry is relocated and what causes the pollution.Based on the panel data of the Yangtze River Delta from 2000 to 2010 and using spatial analysis tool of Arc GIS, this paper explores the characteristics and regularities of spatialtemporal pattern of pollution-intensive industry, and comes to a quantitative conclusion on the driving mechanism of pollution- intensive industry's relocation by constructing a metrological model. Results suggest:(1) In the last 10 years, the phenomenon of pollution- intensive industry's relocation is found in the Yangtze River Delta. The direction of its relocation coincides with Shanghai-Nanjing railway and Shanghai-Hangzhou-Ningbo railway. Moreover,the general trend is from the center to the periphery, which is an accelerated diffusion trend.Generally, the speed of diffusion is faster in the latter 5 years than in the former 5 years, but it has been a little slower since 2008;(2) There are many factors contributing to the relocation of pollution- intensive industry in the Yangtze River Delta, among which export- oriented degree and labor costs help pollution- intensive industry to relocate, while the intensity of environmental governance, industrial structure and innovation capability prevent pollutionintensive industry from relocating to destination. What's more, economic development level is negatively related to the relocation. Given that, it is concluded that the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta is independent to pollution- intensive industry, which contributes less to the growth of GDP nowadays than 10 years ago. H

关 键 词：污染密集型产业 空间转移 驱动机理 长江三角洲地区 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]