东盟10+3制造业国家边界效应测度及影响因素  

The Measurement & Determinants of National Border Effects in ASEAN 10 + 3 Manufacture Industry

作　　者：许统生[1] 缪晗[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学国际经济研究所,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《经济经纬》2015年第3期41-47,共7页Economic Survey

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71263016;71303097;71363016);江西省社会科学规划重点项目(11YJ02)

摘　　要：笔者利用结构型引力模型,基于ISIC rev3四位数1511-3720的制造业分类,对东盟10+3的制造业国家双边边界效应水平进行测度,将关税和非关税等政策性壁垒与信息成本、消费者偏向本地偏好、文化相似性等非政策性壁垒在边界效应中所起的作用进行了比较。研究发现:已经建立自贸区的东盟内部边界效应水平并非最低,政策性壁垒在边界效应中的作用大于非政策性壁垒,非政策壁垒中的书籍贸易作用最大、本地偏好作用最小。因此,进一步促进该区域一体化进程的首要措施是减少非关税壁垒及加强人文交流。Using a structural gravity model,this paper measures the bilateral border effects of manufacture industry among ASEAN 10+ 3,based on 1511-3720 manufacture industry at the ISIC( rev3) four- digit level. It then compares the role which policy barriers such as tariff and non-tariff play in border effects with that of non-policy barriers such as information-related costs,home bias in preference and cultural similarity,the result shows that the border effects in ASEAN which has established the free trade area are not the lowest,the role which policy barriers play in border effects is more than that of non-policy barriers,the role played by book trade is the most and the role played by home bias in preference is the least among non-policy barriers. Therefore,the most important measure is to reduce non-tariff barriers and strengthen cultural communication in order to further promote economic integration in this region.

关 键 词：制造业 边界效应 政策性壁垒 非政策性壁垒 

分 类 号：F133[经济管理—世界经济]