重大技术发明产出年龄分布特征研究——基于美国发明家名人堂数据  

Research on age distribution of major technological invention output:Based on data of the National Inventors Hall of Fame

作　　者：杨中楷[1] 林德明[1] 韩爽[1] 徐梦真[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学科学学与科技管理研究所,辽宁大连116024

出　　处：《科学学研究》2015年第3期347-352,共6页Studies in Science of Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(13CGL019)

摘　　要：工程科技人才是我国重要的资源,其成长和发展规律需要被清晰认识。在赵红州和姜振寰等老一辈科学学工作者的启发下,面向技术发明的"最佳年龄区"、"峰值年龄"等问题进行定量分析,总结出重大技术发明产出的年龄分布特征。研究表明,重大技术发明产出的年龄曲线符合威布尔分布,但具体的参数值与形状有其特殊性,这对我们开展工程科技人才的管理和开发工作具备启示意义和参考价值。As an important national resource,the growth and development law of engineering and technical talent needs to be clearly recognized. Inspired by the older generation of science workers like Zhao Hongzhou and Jiang Zhenhuan,it carries out quantitative analysis on issues such as ' best age district' and ' peak age' that facing to technological inventions,and summarizes the characteristics of age distribution of major technological invention output. It shows that the age curve of major technological invention output is in accord with Weibull distribution,but the specific parameter values and the shape have their own peculiarities. The result has both enlightenment significance and reference value on the management and development on engineering and technical talents.

关 键 词：重大技术发明 年龄分布特征 威布尔分布 

分 类 号：G301[文化科学]