韩国经济增长与对外贸易关系的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of the Economic Growth and Foreign Trade Relations in Korea

作　　者：金华林[1] 刘伟岩[1] 

机构地区：[1]延边大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《东疆学刊》2015年第4期53-60,112,共9页Dongjiang Journal

摘　　要：为了解韩国经济增长与对外贸易的关系,利用1980-2013年的时间序列数据对其进行了ADF检验、协整检验和Granger检验,分析结果表明,韩国经济的增长会促进其对外进、出口贸易额的增加,即两者间存在着长期稳定的协整关系。其中,出口导向型战略对经济的拉动作用主要体现在长期发展中,而在短期内并不明显;进口对经济的推动作用不仅在短期和长期内均十分显著,而且对出口也有促进作用,这主要得益于其进口商品结构。To learn the relations between Korea's economic growth and its foreign trade,this paper analyzes the statistics between 1980 and 2013 chronologically with the approaches of ADF test,co- integration test,Granger test. The analysis shows the economic growth of the Republic of Korea will facilitate its growth in import and export trade volume; in other words there is a co- integration relationship between them. The effect export- oriented strategy has on boosting economy can be seen mainly in the long term.Import can boost the economy in both the long and the short term,and can also boost export; this is mainly due to the import commodity structure.

关 键 词：韩国经济 对外贸易 经济增长 ADF检验 协整检验 

分 类 号：F312[经济管理—产业经济] 7