基于多元回归的三种粮食生产成本分析  

The Analysis of Grain's Production Cost on the Multiple Regression

作　　者：许存兴[1] 魏建中[1] 张芙蓉[2] 

机构地区：[1]渭南师范学院商学院,陕西渭南714000 [2]中国人民银行渭南中心支行,陕西渭南714000

出　　处：《山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）》2016年第5期779-784,共6页Journal of Shandong Agricultural University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：陕西省军民融合研究基金项目(13JMR07);渭南师范学院人文社科类科学研究项目(16SKZD11)

摘　　要：针对"三农"中粮食生产成本快速攀升问题,收集三种粮食生产成本明细数据,通过多元回归分析法,构建三种粮食生产成本模型,F检验表明回归方程总体显著,t检验显示生产总成本与生产子成本之间存在显著的线性关系。研究结果表明,人工费用上升和直接费用不断提高是导致粮食生产成本上升的主因,因此降低三种粮食生产成本需要物化劳动替代活劳动,改变农业补贴方式,提升粮食价格的建议。In view of the quickly increasing agricultural production costs, we have collected three grain's production cost detailed data over years. The cost models of three grain production have been built by means of the multiple regression method. F test indicates that the whole regression equation was obvious and there was an obvious linear relationship between the total production cost and the sub- production cost. The results showed that the increase of labor cost and direct material cost was the main cause for the increase of the grain production cost. Therefore, this paper suggested that mechanical input should take place of the human input and the mode of agricultural subsidies should be changed reasonably. Moreover, the price of grain should be increased to reduce the cost of three kinds of grain production.

关 键 词：生产成本 多元回归分析 农业 粮食 

分 类 号：F326.11[经济管理—产业经济] F302.6