外商直接投资“挤入”还是“挤出”了国内投资  

Analysis of Crowding in or out Effects of FDI on Domestic Investment

作　　者：王志鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学经济管理学院经济系,北京100084

出　　处：《当代财经》2004年第8期94-99,共6页Contemporary Finance and Economics

摘　　要：本文构建了外商直接投资FDI对国内投资的绝对挤入挤出模型,由此修正了已有的相对挤入挤出模型存在的不严谨之处;并在此基础上讨论了FDI对我国国内投资的挤入、挤出影响。最终结论表明:在全国范围内,FDI对国内投资的挤入挤出效应不显著;而在我国东部地区则存在明显的挤出效应;在中部地区存在明显的挤入效应;在西部地区,FDI的挤出效应不显著。By reconstructing the absolute crowding in or out relationship between FDI and domestic investment, we correct the flaws of the existed relative crowding in or out model. Using larger sample of Panel data and comparing the different estimates from 'absolute' and 'relative' models, we find no significant crowding in or out effects in China from the country level. However, further study reveals that the crowding in or out effects show a fine regional characteristic: crowding out effects dominate in eastern China, crowding in effects lead in mid China, and crowding out effects are insignificant in west China.

关 键 词：外商直接投资(FDI) 挤入效应 挤出效应 

分 类 号：F830.59[经济管理—金融学]