渤、黄海海冰预报方法研究  

RESEARCH OF SEA ICE FORECASTING METHOD IN BOHAI AND YELLOW SEA

作　　者：邓冰[1] 佟凯[1] 张学宏[1] 黄海仁[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军海洋水文气象中心,北京100073

出　　处：《海洋预报》2004年第3期15-21,共7页Marine Forecasts

摘　　要：利用现有的观测资料,对影响海冰的各种因子进行了细致的分析,筛选出对海冰影响较大的因子,通过多种常规统计方法的分析比较,并将一些新方法首次应用于海冰预报,取得了良好的预报效果,为今后的海冰预报工作提供了有效的依据。By using the existed data,we analyzed all kinds of factors and screened out the main ones which could make sea ice forecast.Through comparing the manifold routine statistical methods and applying some new methods to sea ice forecast in the first time,we gained better effects.All the work we did will provide available help to sea ice forecast for the future.

关 键 词：海冰预报 渤海 黄海 统计 

分 类 号：P731.15[天文地球—海洋科学]