我国房地产预警系统的基本特征及方法  

On the Critical Characteristics and Method of Real Estate Warning System in China

作　　者：韩立达[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川大学经济学院,四川成都610065

出　　处：《燕山大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2004年第3期35-39,共5页Journal of Yanshan University:Philosophy and Social Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目<我国房地产预警系统研究>的子课题(课题编号:70341018)。

摘　　要：本文结合学者的研究成果,分析了房地产预警系统的含义和特征,对房地产预警指标体系进行了分类,提出了房地产预警的基本流程,并认为统计预警系统是比较符合我国房地产预警实际的方法。在上述分析的基础上,通过对2003年成都市房地产的单指标警情和综合指标警情的定量分析,指出了成都市房地产市场虽然有个别指标处在较热的区间,但是总体发展情况是健康的。This paper, on the basis of previous research, defines the notion of real estate warning system and its critical characteristics. A classification is made on the index system of real estate warning, as well as the fundamental procedure of real estate's warning. It is proposed in the paper that the statistical warning system can better meet the need of real estate warning in China. On the basis of the above analysis, the paper makes a quantitative analysis on both single warning index and comprehensive warning indexes about the real estate in Chengdu city in 2003. It is pointed out that the whole real estate market in Chengdu works healthily, except some specific indexes which lie in comparative hotter zone.

关 键 词：房地产 预警系统 预警流程 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]