新疆地震综合预报判据和指标的研究  被引量:4

THE RESEARCH OF CRITERION AND INDEX OF EARTH QUAKE COMPREHENSIVE PREDICTION IN XINJIANG

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作  者:朱令人[1] 王海涛[1] 

机构地区:[1]新疆维吾尔自治区地震局

出  处:《内陆地震》1989年第3期203-213,共11页Inland Earthquake

摘  要:本文在地震综合预报清理攻关及有关震例研究的基础上,根据地震孕育的阶段性,分四个时段提取了新疆地震预报实践中常用方法、手段的单项异常预报判据和指标,定性和定量地研讨了综合预报方法。提出地震综合预报的集成预测概率方法。In this paper, some relative examples and ways of 'earthquake comprehensive prediction have been checked by cleaning up the, data, and1 tackiing the key problems. The common methods for the criterion and index of single anomalousforecast in .Xinjiang pre'diction practice have been picked up in four periods,according to the stage of seismological generation. The methods of comprehensiveprediction are also discussed qualitatively and quantitatively so that the method of integrated predictive probability is put forward.

关 键 词:新疆 地震预报 指标 集成预测概率 

分 类 号:P315.7[天文地球—地震学]

 

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