泥石流预报分类及其研究现状和发展方向  

Classification of debris flow forecast and its present status and development in research

作　　者：韦方强[1] 崔鹏[1] 钟敦伦[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院-水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所,四川成都610041

出　　处：《自然灾害学报》2004年第5期10-15,共6页Journal of Natural Disasters

基　　金：国家杰出青年科学基金资助项目(40025103);中国科学院成都山地灾害与环境研究所创新前沿项目(C3200307)

摘　　要：泥石流预报是泥石流减灾的重要手段之一,这方面的研究越来越多,研究内容和形式也越来越广泛、多样。但在众多的研究中,使用的都是内涵宽泛的泥石流预报概念而未进行细化和分类。为了促进泥石流预报研究的发展,通过综合分析和研究,归纳并提出了比较系统的泥石流预报分类方法和体系,确定了不同类型泥石流预报的具体内涵,并对不同类型泥石流预报现状进行了综合分析,同时提出了今后的发展方向。More researches were carried out in debris flow forecast because of its importance in debris flow disasters mitigation, and more and more types of debris flow forecast appeared. However, a concept with wide connotation (about) debris flow forecast was used in almost all of the researches. For this reason, a systemic classification of debris flow forecast is presented under comprehensive analysis and induction. The concrete connotation of different types of debris flow forecast are determined. Based on the classification, the present status and its development of every type of debris flow forecast are described.

关 键 词：泥石流 预报 分类 发展方向 研究现状 

分 类 号：P642.23[天文地球—工程地质学]