家庭病床数量配置模型的预测  

Disposition models in forecasting family bed

作　　者：鲍勇[1,2] 龚幼龙[1,2] 陈熊雄[1,2] 王敏达[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]上海医科大学 [2]上海市卫生局

出　　处：《上海预防医学》1999年第1期6-8,共3页Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine

摘　　要：目的配合社区卫生服务的发展，阐述家庭病床的数量配置模型。方法对社区合理配置家庭病床数量进行了研究。结果首次提出人口推算法、人口移动综合推算法和时间序列分析法进行社区家庭病床数量配置的计算。结论这些方法在理论上对合理配置卫生资源具有重要的指导意义。bjective To disposal rationally family bed and improve the development of community health care. MethodsFamily bed forecasting methods. Results The need quantity of family bed was analyzed. Author also put forward comprehensive forecasting models of family bed for the first time. These models include projection of total population number,time - trend analysis and the calculation of age - moved population. Conclusion These methods of family bed forecasting will have profound guiding significance in community health service.

关 键 词：家庭病床 首次 社区卫生服务 配合 推算法 合理配置 预测 数量 人口 模型 

分 类 号：R473.2[医药卫生—护理学] R197[医药卫生—临床医学]