中国经济转型期汇率制度的重新安排  

Study on new arrangement of exchange-rate system in process of economic transition

作　　者：张冰[1] 张一喆[1] 成力为[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《哈尔滨商业大学学报（自然科学版）》2004年第5期618-621,共4页Journal of Harbin University of Commerce：Natural Sciences Edition

摘　　要：1994年以来我国开始实行了"有管理的浮动汇率制度",但其实质仍然是盯住美元的固定汇率制度,容易受到大量游资的投机冲击,存在着重新选择的必要.克鲁格曼的"三元悖论"和蒙代尔的"小国模型"透彻的分析了中国现行汇率制度的弊端和货币政策的削弱.克鲁格曼的汇率目标区理论和实证分析,可以较好的适用于中国经济转型期,并是一个现实的、可行的选择.Since 1994, our country exchange rate mechanism has carried out the managed floating rate, but it is still a single pegged exchange-rate system, which is easily being attacked by the lots of floating capital, existing the necessary of the new arrangement. Paul Krugman'Trielement Paradox' and the Mundell 'model of small country 'thoroughly analysis the abuse of china present exchange rate and the weaken of monetary policy. The target zone exchange rate model of Krugman and the demonstration effect can be suitable in the process of economic transition,and it is a realistic and feasible choice for china.

关 键 词：固定汇率制度 中国经济 投机冲击 克鲁格曼 蒙代尔 “三元悖论” 汇率目标区理论 转型期 安排 中国 

分 类 号：F832[经济管理—金融学] F822