分形理论在油田开发指标预测中的应用  

The Application of Fractal Theory to Predict Development Targets in Oilfield

作　　者：吴晓伟[1] 史有刚[1] 于秋霞[2] 罗述华[2] 鲍世军[1] 崔明礼[1] 

机构地区：[1]胜利油田有限公司临盘采油厂 [2]胜利油田有限公司孤东采油厂

出　　处：《断块油气田》2004年第3期42-44,共3页Fault-Block Oil & Gas Field

摘　　要：油田开发指标预测对于油田配产、制定下步开发措施、编制开发方案等具有重要意义。采用累积极和及平移方法进行一系列变换 ,从中选出一种变换 ,使变换后的数据能与分形分布模型符合良好 ,亦即使变换后的数据能用分形分布来处理。运用分形理论对临盘油田年产油、含水率两项开发指标进行预测 ,矿场实验结果表明 :预测值与实际值误差较小 。Prediction of development targets in oilfield is significant on distributing oil production,planning next development measure and oilfield development scheme.Data were transformed with method of accumulation and displacement.From the result we select a group of data which is suitable with fratal model,namely,using fractal theory to predict annual output,water cut of Linpan oilfield,the results are accordance with the actual value in oilfield.It can be regarded as a guidance of oil production.Finally,the paper points out the applied value and prospect of this method in forecasting the development targets.

关 键 词：分形理论 油田开发 含水率 分维数 含水率 预测方法 

分 类 号：TE32[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]