中国失业警戒线的研究和分析  

Research and Analysis on the Warning Line of Unemployment in China

作　　者：肖华[1] 

机构地区：[1]华南师范大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《科技情报开发与经济》2005年第3期146-147,共2页Sci-Tech Information Development & Economy

摘　　要：失业是市场经济发展的必然产物,在许多国家,失业率居高不下已引发出许多政治、经济、社会等问题,所以研究失业率、建立失业警戒线已成为世界各国政府普遍关注的问题。阐明了失业警戒线的确定应包括两个方面,即警戒线本身的确定和警戒区间分界点的确定。在当前,宜采取定性方法来确定失业警戒线,而通过建立数学模型进行模拟的方法将是未来研究的方向。Unemployment is the inevitable result of the market economy. In many countries a lot of political, economic and social problems have been caused by the higher unemployment rate. So more and more countries have paid close attention to the study of unemployment rate and to the establishment of the warning line of the unemployment. This paper explains that the determination of the warning line of unemployment is influenced by two factors, that is the determination of the warning line itself and the determination of the cut-off points of the warning interval. At present, the warning line of unemployment should be determined by using the qualitative method, and the method for making the analogue through establishing the mathematic model will be the direction of the future research.

关 键 词：失业率 失业警戒线 影响因素 预案 

分 类 号：F24[经济管理—劳动经济]