气象要素对精神疾病的影响与预测  

AFFECT OF METEOROLOGIC ELEMENTS ON HUMAN PSYCHOSIS AND ITS FORECAST

作　　者：张晓云[1] 刘建勋[2] 李金华[2] 刘艳[1] 刘彬贤[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津市气象科学研究所,天津300074 [2]天津市安定医院,天津300074

出　　处：《气象科学》2004年第4期495-500,共6页Journal of the Meteorological Sciences

基　　金：天津市气象局科技攻关项目"精神疾病与天气变化"资助

摘　　要：利用 1997～ 1999年天津市安定医院 5 0 0 0余例精神疾病 (本文指精神分裂症和燥狂症 )入院资料和同期气象资料进行对比分析。对各种气象要素与精神疾病发病的关系作了详细的讨论 ,揭示了发病情况与气象要素的变化规律。用多元回归方法找出诱发精神疾病的主要气象因子 ,组建精神疾病预报方程 ,拟合和业务使用效果良好 ,有较好的推广意义。By contrasting the data of Anding Hospital's 5000 psychosis in Tianjin in 1997～1999 and meteorological data,the relationship between the meteorological factors and invasion rate was discussed.The variation rules of invasion and meteorological factors was revealed. The highly correlative factors were chosen and the forecasting model was established by multiple regression analysis. A better predictive effect has been found. It will have importance in being used in operation.

关 键 词：精神疾病 气象要素 预报 

分 类 号：P458[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]