基于案例推理的供应链风险估计方法  

Case-Based Reasoning for Supply Chain Risk Assessment

作　　者：付玉[1] 张存禄[1] 黄培清[2] 骆建文[2] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学,福建厦门361005 [2]上海交通大学管理学院,上海200052

出　　处：《预测》2005年第1期56-58,共3页Forecasting

基　　金：教育部博士点基金资助项目(20020248011)

摘　　要：供应链风险管理的重要性逐渐被人们认识。不确定偶发风险事件导致的供应链风险后果的估计是风险估计的难点所在。把人工智能中的案例推理技术引入供应链风险估计,较好地解决了案例的描述与存储组织、匹配案例的检索以及检索结果的调整等关键问题,设计了实用化的偶发风险估计原形系统。The importance of supply chain risk management has been recognized gradually. It is the real difficulty to assess the aftereffect of supply chain risk caused by uncertain contingent events. Using Case-Based Reasoning method to supply chain risk assessment, it successfully solves the problems like how to describe and save cases, how to find matching case, how to adjust the solution, etc. The prototype is designed.

关 键 词：案例推理 供应链风险 风险估计 

分 类 号：F253.4[经济管理—国民经济]