陕南栎类资源消耗状况的灰色预测及消长分析  

THE GREY CALCULATION AND ANALYSIS OF GROWTH AND CONSUMPTION OF OAK FOREST RESOURCE IN THE SOUTH OF SHAANXI PROVINCE

作　　者：曲式曾[1] 张文辉[1] 李景侠[1] 赵德怀 

机构地区：[1]西北林学院 [2]陕西省林业学校

出　　处：《陕西林业科技》1989年第4期48-51,共4页Shaanxi Forest Science and Technology

摘　　要：根据实际调查资料,应用灰色系统理论中的 GM(1,1)模型,对陕南栎类资源消耗状况进行了预测,并将生长量与消耗量进行对比分析。针对栎类资源严重超伐的现实,提出了建议和对策。In this paper,by means of GM(1,1)model of grey system theory,the consumption of oak forest in thc south of Shaanxi Province has been predicted.The annual gross growth has been compared with the annual consumption.To counter this tendency of serious overcutting oak forest,the measures to be taken has been showed.A scientific basis of determining the reasonable consumption of oak forest has been provided.

关 键 词：栎类 资源消耗 灰色预测 消长 

分 类 号：S792.180.6[农业科学—林木遗传育种]