前兆信息的系统结构及其在短临综合预报中的应用  

THE SYSTEM STRUCTURE OF PRECURSORY INFORMATION AND IST APPLICATION IN EARTHQUAKE COMPREHENSIVE PREDICTION

作　　者：张启明 

机构地区：[1]云南大理州地震办公室

出　　处：《华南地震》1994年第3期33-39,共7页South China Journal of Seismology

摘　　要：从地震综合预报实际出发，提出了地震前兆信息的系统结构思想。运用系统结构值Ｐ定量和综合地反映前兆系统的信息变化，并应用于滇西地震短临预报的实践中。通过２３次震例内检，结果表明对提高地震综合预报能力具有积极作用。According to the situation of earthquake comprehensive prediction, the idea about the system structure of seismic precursory information was advanced. The p-value of the system structure was used to show the information variation of precursory system, and it could be applied in short-term and impending earthquake prediction of west Yunnan area. The interior test of 23 earthquakes indicated that it is useful for improving earthquake comprehensive prediction.

关 键 词：综合预报 地震前兆 系统结构 短临预报 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]