新疆大地震的时间有序性初探  

TIME ORDERNESS OF GREAT EARTHQUAKES IN XINJIANG

作　　者：徐道一[1] 王湘南[1] 严正[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家地震局地质研究所

出　　处：《内陆地震》1994年第3期203-210,共8页Inland Earthquake

基　　金：地质科学联合基金

摘　　要：应用翁文波的信息预测理论与方法对１８００年以来在新疆发生的１８次７级以上大地震的时间有序性进行了研究，发现存在着于支（古代天干、地支的简历）“周期”。大多数地震表现有６０年、３０年的时间间隔，有些地震则表现有与震中位置相关的有序性。许多地震的时间间隔表现了可对应于１１．３年太阳黑子活动周期以及对应于１８．６年月球交点退行周期的数值交替出现，从而使相邻两数之和等于或近似等于３０年。这表明了３０年干支“周期”与上述２个天文周期之间的密切关联。By using the information anticipated theory and method drawn from Weng Wenbo, 18times of great earthquakes with magnitude over 7. 0 since 1800 in Xinjiang have been analyzed from their time orderness, and two cycles about the Heavenly Stems and Earthly Branches (An Ancient Calender Estimation)were found existing some certain relations with earthquakes occurrence. For most of the shocks,their time intervals are about 60 years and 30years,some shocks even showed some orderness in epicentral distance. The time intervals for most of the earthquakes can correspond 11. 3 years of sunspot active period and 18. 6 years of the moon's node in turn,with the above periodic numerical values. When adding them up,the value of about 30 years intervals or the approximately value could get,indicating that there are some close relations of the astronomical cycles to the Heavenly Stems &. Earthly Branches in 30 years.

关 键 词：地震 有序性 信息预测 新疆 

分 类 号：P316.245[天文地球—地震学]